DTN Midday Livestock Comments 09/18 11:57
Bounced Around Wednesday Trade
Wednesday opened to a mixed and wavering complex but has since found support
in the corn markets and nearby lean hog contracts. Live cattle and feeder
cattle contracts are both uneasy as to where to land and an unestablished cash
market doesn't help matters.
By ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
Wondering where Wednesday is going is a perfect way to describe the feel of
the midday market! With another case of African swine fever in South Korea, a
strengthening corn market, and sideways trade on cattle contracts, a lot still
needs to be determined before an established market can take hold. December
corn is up three cents at $3.71. The Dow Jones is down 57.12 points and the
NASDAQ is down 30.23 points.
December live cattle opened Wednesday at $105.225 and has since then
gingerly stepped up to $105.425. With cutout values sharply lower, and a large
movement of boxed beef, futures are discerning as to how much they can bite off
Wednesday morning. Deferred live cattle contracts are all lower which could be
somewhat due to the strengthening midday corn market.
Two pens of cattle sold on the Fed Cattle Exchange Wednesday morning, there
was 1,229 head of cattle consigned to the sale, and of that 281 head sold. One
pen of 132 steers sold for $101.000, with one-to-nine-day delivery and the
second pen of 149 heifers fold for $101.25, with one-to-nine-day delivery as
well. Buyers were reluctant to touch anything at $102. As of midday, cash bids
remain illusive. Asking prices are around $103-plus in the South, and $167 to
$170 in the North.
Boxed beef cutouts at midday are sharply lower with choice being down $1.21
($218.56) and select down $2.16 ($191.75). Wednesday's offering of boxed beef
movement is up significantly at 109 total loads, versus Tuesday's offering of
58 loads. The 109 total loads were made up of 47.04 loads of choice cuts, 31.06
loads of select cuts, 20.35 loads of trimmings and 10.36 loads of ground beef.
Feeder cattle opened Wednesday morning at $137.300 and have since then
shifted to $137.425. Feeder cattle have two things working against them right
now: 1) an indecisive live cattle market, 2) a strengthening corn complex. Corn
opened Wednesday morning with little to no support but has since then found
support at midday. Though it's unlikely, if live cattle establish an early cash
trade this week, feeder cattle would have some indication as to where things
are headed, and just how fast.
The hog headline for Wednesday morning was that the second case of African
swine fever has been found and confirmed in South Korea. Officials and have
culled nearly 4,000 pigs as of Tuesday and have stepped up their efforts to
quarantine any infected herds.
Lean hogs opened Wednesday morning at $67.250 and have shifted down to
$66.925 at midday. Nearby contracts through July 2020 show moderate strength
and positive support. Prices are down $0.61 on the Nation Direct Morning Hog
Report at a weighted average of $44.48, ranging from $42.00 to $46.00, with
6,955 head sold and a five-day rolling average of $45.32. Pork cutout total
loads came to 214.26, with 196.29 loads of pork cuts and 17.97 loads of
trimmings. Pork cutout values came in $0.74 lower, at $67.47. The projected
lean hog index for 9/17/19 is down $0.73, at $56.76 and the actual lean hog
index for 9/16/19 came to $57.49, down $0.99.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org
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